Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1147.241655 1309.474103 1492.597227 1715.830349 1982.249739 2292.065136 2682.595490
2025-05-18 926.187293 1141.735777 1410.089098 1773.949091 2262.625110 2908.355780 3847.157241
2025-05-25 810.817894 1048.681119 1363.817232 1822.053505 2489.070864 3454.191514 5014.835153
2025-06-01 720.785845 967.606913 1310.972847 1839.149440 2660.878252 3945.531870 6228.269093
2025-06-08 648.556886 897.565812 1258.231489 1839.953167 2798.426699 4403.157824 7512.015254
2025-06-15 601.348618 855.643750 1237.874782 1882.334925 3003.965900 5012.152776 9257.966719
2025-06-22 538.963044 782.861813 1159.790062 1817.109143 3010.670915 5264.123273 10380.334382
2025-06-29 488.269526 722.301820 1093.042471 1759.539095 3017.655762 5513.496454 11579.938698
2025-07-06 443.263379 666.121926 1026.808180 1692.729343 2993.793345 5692.714399 12679.840033
2025-07-13 427.681285 655.770481 1035.240928 1760.554036 3243.577476 6510.525724 15739.639091
2025-07-20 406.555483 634.006458 1021.336685 1783.959839 3406.104565 7175.156416 18707.792947
2025-07-27 387.589582 614.058901 1008.258691 1806.596529 3570.608642 7889.593243 22217.093736
2025-08-03 367.631557 591.345319 989.069698 1816.999037 3716.581781 8619.449040 26308.025055
2025-08-10 356.674243 583.658350 997.024795 1885.177832 4014.526753 9867.237445 33287.525054
2025-08-17 344.539203 572.623544 997.182420 1936.320839 4282.284775 11129.501914 41494.054050
2025-08-24 329.800036 555.482187 983.575861 1954.863649 4470.812447 12223.022248 50069.514392
2025-08-31 314.524116 536.078004 963.497923 1955.718207 4612.569266 13222.564468 59337.656376
2025-09-07 304.883398 526.617517 962.610770 2001.460261 4891.611601 14830.120166 74435.291814
2025-09-14 285.319590 496.504571 916.209940 1931.073484 4816.788594 15087.620515 81009.355796
2025-09-21 268.096987 469.890994 875.090345 1868.987862 4756.136114 15388.843505 88503.758179
2025-09-28 251.357230 443.234949 831.911560 1796.985359 4652.375074 15484.806329 94686.702821
2025-10-05 247.758834 442.603324 844.781493 1870.082083 5027.923292 17824.585320 125606.232082
2025-10-12 240.536370 434.104137 839.611852 1895.319506 5253.662657 19621.947684 156351.173572